After the recent public debate, former President Donald Trump has noted a slight increase in support for Vice President Kamala Harris. However, the Reuters/Ipsos survey closed last Thursday indicating nothing too concerning for Trump, since Harris’s lead just increased a mere bit, moving from a four-point advantage in late August to 47% to 42% in favor of Harris in the 2024 presidential election. This indicates a very tight race and a strong potential for Trump to secure another presidential term.
From the pool of likely voters who engaged with the debate, whether by watching it or reading up on it, a percentage more voiced for Harris, but significantly a considerable portion of 24% affirmed Trump’s superior performance. Interestingly, there was some discord within the ranks of Trump’s own party with one out of five Republican voters stating that Trump didn’t appear as sharp as expected.
Despite the small step back for Trump, a majority of Republicans still affirmed their confidence in him. Roughly 53% of the surveyed Republican voters declared Trump as the winner of the debate. Meanwhile, an overwhelming majority of Democrats, approximately 91%, unsurprisingly claimed Harris as the victor, illustrating the deep divide amongst American voters.
The poll also revealed mixed feelings within the Republican voter base, interestingly, a considerable number of 31% maintained a neutral stance, stating neither of the candidates outperformed the other, and surprisingly 14% conceded to Harris performing relatively well compared to Trump. These interesting internal party numbers suggest a need for the Republicans to rally behind their candidate more comprehensively.
After the debate, Trump made a noteworthy declaration saying that he wouldn’t participate in any further debates with Harris. He confidently posed that given his terrific performance on Tuesday, another debate wasn’t necessary. As expected, this decision, like many of Trump’s strategies, saw mixed responses from different sections of the public.
The question of who won the debate seems to be tipped in favor of Harris, according to rapid response polls and other unverified surveys, but these lack scientific and comprehensive approach necessary for a fair evaluation. Nonetheless, an audience of over 67 million tuned into the debate, presenting a golden opportunity for both candidates to push their narratives.
Harris aggressively utilized the platform to lay out an opposing case against the former president, indirectly criticizing his economic policy and his refusal to accept his loss in the 2020 elections. Trump, on the other hand, did not shy away from emphasizing the urgent issues of inflating prices and immigration worries affecting American lives, painting Harris as an overly liberal choice, and a continuation of Biden’s unpopular tenure.
The Election Day deadlines are fast approaching with less than two months to go. Now, the focus turns to key swing states, which hold the balance of power and can ultimately decide the future commander in chief. Thus, it’s important to bear in mind the current positions in these vital regions.
In Arizona, Trump seems to be making his mark – showing a lead of 2% according to the polling statistics from 270toWin. This result is a summary based on five different polls, the most recent being on September 10th, demonstrating Trump’s resilience in the race and strength of his support.
Similarly, in Georgia, Trump has also managed to secure a narrow lead, currently standing at 1.3% in aggregate polling data from 270toWin. This is determined by six different polls, with the latest one carried out on September 10th.
Contrarily, Harris has been seen to hold a small advantage in Michigan, leading Trump by approximately 2.2%, as per 270toWin’s polling averages. This figure has been drawn from five polls, with the most recent conducted on September 12th.
A similar trend appears in Nevada, where Harris leads Trump by a minor .4%, in accordance with 270toWin’s polling averages. This has been compiled from five polls, most recent of which was conducted on September 10th.
North Carolina witness a marginal lead for Harris as well, however she only leads by .5%, as pronounced by polling averages website 270toWin. The figure is derived from seven polls, the most recent one conducted on September 10th.
In Pennsylvania, deemed as the swing state carrying the largest number of Electoral College votes in play, Harris leads by a meager .8%. This current reality is based off five latest polls, with the most recent one taking place on September 10th, according to 270toWin.
Finally, in Wisconsin, Harris secures a 3.5% lead in polling averages, according to 270toWin. This is based on the data from a total of six different polls, with the most recent one conducted on September 11th. It is crucial to keep in mind, these figures are a small snapshot in time and a real-time verdict is only delivered on Election Day.