The upcoming 2024 election could witness a significant turning point if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. decides to run as an independent candidate. Recent polling data, released on Thursday, indicates that Kennedy has the potential to sway a notable portion of the electorate.
Although campaigning as a Democrat since April, Kennedy’s rumoured switch to an independent party in Pennsylvania has only fueled further speculation.
According to a Reuters/Ipsos survey, Kennedy’s entry as an independent political contender could divide votes between former President Donald Trump and President Biden, capturing 14% of the overall share.
When pitted against each other, Trump and Biden earned equal support at 35%, with 11% of individuals choosing someone else entirely. Another 9% disclosed that they wouldn’t cast their vote at all, while 9% remained undecided.
However, in a three-way race including Kennedy with 14% of support, Trump received 33% backing, while Biden secured 31% of the votes. The poll revealed that 9% of respondents would abstain from voting, and 13% remained uncertain about their decision.
Despite the findings of the Reuters/Ipsos survey, some Democratic and Republican strategists played down the impact of Kennedy’s decision to run as an independent candidate in the 2024 presidential race, as reported by the Daily Caller.
Instead, they cautioned against the potential influence of progressive presidential candidate Cornel West, stating that West could potentially shape the outcome of the election. A parallel survey conducted by Emerson College in early August hinted at West’s prospective impact in the battleground state of Michigan.
The data suggests that West’s candidacy could help Trump surpass Biden by a margin of 43% to 41%. A similar nationwide poll conducted by McLaughlin & Associates echoed these results, with Trump widening the margin of victory over Biden by 5 percentage points.
To gather the insights presented in the Reuters/Ipsos poll, 1,005 individuals from across the nation were surveyed between October 3rd and October 4th.
The margin of error for the survey is estimated to be 4%. As of now, Kennedy, Biden, and Trump have not provided any comments in response to requests from the Daily Caller News Foundation.
The potential entrance of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as an independent candidate in the 2024 presidential race has sparked considerable interest among voters and political analysts alike. Many believe that Kennedy’s candidacy could be a game-changer and lead to unforeseen outcomes in the upcoming election.
Although Kennedy has been actively campaigning as a Democrat, his recent indications of switching party affiliation have predicted a new direction for his political aspirations.
According to the recently released Reuters/Ipsos survey, Kennedy’s decision to run as an independent could significantly impact the outcome of the election by garnering 14% of the total votes.
This division in support would directly affect both former President Donald Trump and President Biden, potentially altering the balance of power. In a direct contest between Trump and Biden, their support stood at an even 35%, showcasing a highly competitive race.
Furthermore, the survey revealed that 11% of individuals chose an alternative candidate, with 9% stating that they would abstain from voting. Another 9% were undecided, indicating the fluid nature of the political landscape.
However, in a hypothetical three-way race involving Kennedy as an independent candidate, Trump secured 33% of the votes, while Biden obtained 31%, making the choice for voters even more challenging.
The survey also highlighted that 9% of respondents claimed they would not participate in the election, and 13% remained unsure of their decision.
Despite the headlines generated by the Reuters/Ipsos survey, several Democratic and Republican strategists downplayed the potential impact of Kennedy’s independent run on the presidential race in conversations with the Daily Caller.
Instead, these experts emphasized the influence that progressive candidate Cornel West could have on the 2024 election. Recent surveys conducted by Emerson College and McLaughlin & Associates indicated that West’s candidacy could tilt the scales in favor of Trump, giving him an edge over Biden.
The Emerson College survey, conducted in early August, suggested that West’s presence in the race could lead to a Trump victory in the battleground state of Michigan, with a slim margin of 43% to 41%.
Similarly, the nationwide poll conducted by McLaughlin & Associates indicated a broader support base for Trump, resulting in a 5-point lead over Biden. These findings raise important considerations about the potential impact of various candidates that may arise during the election cycle.
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The Reuters/Ipsos poll, a comprehensive survey that encompassed 1,005 respondents nationwide, was conducted over a two-day period, from October 3rd to October 4th.
The margin of error for this survey is estimated to be 4%. Although requested by the Daily Caller News Foundation, neither Kennedy, Biden, nor Trump have issued any comments regarding these survey results at the time of writing.
The entry of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. into the presidential race as an independent candidate has sparked enthusiasm and various speculations about the possible outcomes of the 2024 election.
As an established Democratic campaigner, Kennedy’s potential switch to an independent party has ignited curiosity and anticipation among supporters and critics alike.
The latest Reuters/Ipsos survey has shed light on the potential impact of Kennedy’s candidacy. The poll suggests that his decision to run as an independent could divide the electorate, affecting both former President Donald Trump and President Biden. The survey revealed that Kennedy could capture 14% of the overall share, providing a new dynamic to the 2024 election.
In a head-to-head competition, Trump and Biden obtained equal support at 35%. However, 11% of the participants chose to support an alternative candidate, while 9% decided not to vote at all. Another 9% remained undecided, emphasizing the significance of the undecided middle-ground.
In the scenario where Kennedy enters the race, Trump secured 33% support, while Biden earned 31%, making the outcome even more uncertain for voters. Furthermore, 9% of respondents expressed their intention not to cast their vote, and 13% were still unsure about their decision.
Despite the attention drawn to Kennedy’s potential candidacy in the Reuters/Ipsos survey, Democratic and Republican strategists dismissed its impact on the presidential race when interviewed by the Daily Caller.
Instead, they highlighted the potential influence of progressive candidate Cornel West’s presidential bid, suggesting that West may have a more significant impact on the 2024 election.
An earlier survey conducted by Emerson College in August revealed that West’s candidacy in the battleground state of Michigan favored Trump over Biden, with a narrow margin of 43% to 41%.
A nationwide poll conducted by McLaughlin & Associates further supported these results, showing that Trump’s lead over Biden extended to 5 percentage points. These findings underscore the need to consider various factors that may shape the outcome of the upcoming election.
The survey conducted by Reuters/Ipsos gathered data from 1,005 individuals across the country between October 3rd and October 4th. The survey’s margin of error stands at 4%, ensuring a confident representation of the electorate’s views.
At the time of reporting, Kennedy, Biden, and Trump have yet to respond to requests for comment from the Daily Caller News Foundation.