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Escalating U.S. – China Trade War Could Hurt Californian Consumers

FILE PHOTO: A woman shops in a supermarket as rising inflation affects consumer prices in Los Angeles, California, U.S., June 13, 2022. REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson/File Photo

As of April 10th, a prevailing trade dispute between the United States and one of California’s primary trading partners continues, leading to growing concerns over escalating expenses for U.S. consumers. Just the previous day, the Tariffs on Chinese merchandise were escalated to 145% by President Donald Trump. He further declared a temporary halt of 90 days for U.S. tariffs on many nations. In return, China imposed an 84% tariff on American commodities.

Actions above triggered reactions from local authorities, notable among them was Governor Gavin Newsom, who encouraged the waiver of retaliatory actions against Californian goods, a direct result of President Trump’s ‘Liberations Day’ tariffs. Newsom’s call to action underlined his intention of fostering strategic trade alliances with international partners. Of the state’s total exports in the previous year, over a third was absorbed by Mexico, Canada, and China, proving themselves as top export markets for California.

In the previous year, California’s total exports reached a value of $183 billion, with the state securing the second position among all U.S. states and territories in terms of total export volume. The predominant sectors contributing to this export portfolio were computer and electronic product manufacturing, machinery manufacturing, transportation equipment manufacturing, chemical production, and crop production.

Drilling down into the specific commodities exported from California to China, we find that the lion’s share was made up of computer and electronic products. This was closely followed by machinery (excluding electrical), chemicals, dietary products, and processed foods. Altogether, these top five categories contributed significantly to California’s last year export earnings from China.

The figures in detail show computer and electronic products accounted for $3.40 billion, machinery excluding electrical added $2.76 billion, chemicals contributed $1.65 billion, agricultural goods made up $1.23 billion, and processed foods summed to $1.09 billion. This data points to the pivotal role these export products play in California’s international trade, especially with China.

Delving deeper into the specific export categories, we observe that the top exported goods are linked to various sectors such as commercial and service industry machinery, navigation tools, medical equipment, control instruments, semiconductors and other electronic components, pharmaceuticals and medicines, and tree nuts and fruits.

In the last year, California’s total exports to China summed up to slightly above $15 billion. The value of agricultural exports such as almonds, dairy products, pistachios, and wine was also considerable, amounting to millions of dollars.

It’s noteworthy to highlight that tree nuts, including almonds, held the premier position among Californian exports during the past year. Other highly valued agricultural exports for the year 2022 included pistachios, dairy and related products, hay, and beef (the latter also accounting for ancillary products like hides and skins). All these goods represented the top agricultural exports to China and Hong Kong.

Turning attention towards imported goods, California stands as the leading importer amongst all the American states, importing goods worth over $491 billion last year. Out of the total, more than $172 billion worth of goods were imported from China, further emphasizing the significant economic relationship between California and China.

The major categories of goods imported by California from China last year encompassed computer and electronic products, electrical gadgets, appliances and components, miscellaneous manufacturers, apparel and accessories, as well as non-electrical machinery. Specifically, the goods included computer and electronic products worth $39.44 billion, electrical appliances and components worth $19.49 billion, miscellaneous manufactures at $14.18 billion, clothing and accessories at $7.31 billion, and non-electrical machinery valued at $6.07 billion.

Should the U.S.-China trade war escalate further, it might cause drastic repercussions for American consumers. Likely consequences include skyrocketing prices across various commodities, ranging from food to vehicles, an occurrence that will compound the existing inflationary pressures.

It is important to mention that China is America’s largest provider of a plethora of goods, from smartphones to computers to toys. This crucial role was evidenced in China’s accounting for 16.5% of the $3.2 trillion value of items the U.S. imported in 2022.

The burgeoning trade dispute between the U.S. and China could yield adverse effects on the sweeping variety of Chinese goods found in American homes. The potential for increased tariffs to affect consumer pricing and availability of goods, from everyday items to more specialized products, is substantial.

California’s economic landscape is intrinsically tied to its relationship with China, as both an exporter and importer. This relationship is multi-faceted and deeply woven into the fabric of both economies. Thus, further fluctuations in tariffs and the overall trade situation could have significant implications for the state.

In conclusion, the trade dispute between the U.S. and China, if not resolved expediently, could have far-reaching consequences. With California being heavily dependent on Chinese imports and exports, the state and its residents could suffer heavily. As such, it is crucial for authorities to negotiate a truce, safeguarding the economy and the well-being of Californian consumers.