The Los Angeles Dodgers (24-15) will host the San Diego Padres (19-20) for the second game of a 3-game series at Dodger Stadium on Saturday. The first pitch is set for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). In this article, we will analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s odds for the Padres vs. Dodgers game, and recommend MLB picks and predictions for the best bets. So far this season, the Dodgers have dominated the series, holding a 3-1 lead.
The Padres faced a disappointing loss in Friday’s series opener, with a final score of 4-2, marking their third consecutive defeat. Overall, San Diego has lost 5 of their last 6 games, including 3 straight losses to their rivals, the Dodgers which led them to fall below .500 for the season. Meanwhile, the Dodgers have seen a winning streak with 3 consecutive victories and triumphs in 5 out of their last 6 games.
Playing in LA has proved fruitful for the Dodgers, with an impressive record of 11-2 in their last 13 games since April 28. They currently hold a 3-game lead over the second-place Arizona Diamondbacks. Knowing this, it’s important to consider the projected starters for the Padres at Dodgers game: RHP Joe Musgrove and LHP Julio Urias.
Joe Musgrove (1-0, 6.75 ERA) is set to make his 4th start for the Padres, with a 1.43 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9, and 9.5 K/9 in 13 1/3 innings. During his last start, he ended in a no-decision, pitching 5 innings, with 1 run (0 ER), 2 hits, 3 walks, and 5 strikeouts in a 5-2 extra-inning loss at home against the Dodgers. In comparison, his performance against the Dodgers last season involved a 0-2 record, a 3.63 ERA (17 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 23 strikeouts, and a .231 opponent batting average (OBA) in 3 starts.
For the Dodgers, Julio Urias (4-3, 3.77 ERA) is expected to make his 9th start, boasting a 1.17 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9, and 9.5 K/9 in 45 1/3 innings pitched. Last Sunday, Urias also came to a no-decision, pitching 5 2/3 innings, with 2 earned runs, 8 hits, 1 walk, and 3 strikeouts in a 5-2 extra-inning victory on the road against the Padres. As for his performance at home this season, he holds a 3-1 record, a 1.82 ERA (24 2/3 IP, 5 ER), and a .205 OBA in 4 starts.
The lines provided by BetMGM Sportsbook, as of 9:10 a.m. ET, are as follows: Moneyline (ML): Padres +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Dodgers -155 (bet $155 to win $100). Run line (RL)/ Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-160) | Dodgers -1.5 (+135). Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115).
Taking into consideration their recent performances, our prediction for this matchup is a Dodgers 5, Padres 2 victory. With the DODGERS (-155) playing exceptionally well, their price for success at home is far from unreasonable. The Padres (+125), on the other hand, hold a 1-5 record in their last 6 games and have only managed to cash in 2 of their last 8 attempts during the second game of a series.
Furthermore, the Padres have struggled with a 1-5 record in their past 6 encounters with teams holding a winning overall record. This trend does not bode well for their upcoming bout against the Dodgers, adding weight to our prediction.
Examining the run line/against the spread, the DODGERS -1.5 (+135) offer decent value. They have successfully cashed on the run line during each of the last 3 games. Moreover, as a favorite team, the Dodgers boast an impressive 10-1 record in their last 11 games, and have consistently covered the run line in 8 of their previous 9 games as a favored team.
The Padres +1.5 (-160), however, failed to cover as an underdog on the run line during Friday’s opener. Their performance during the last 2 games as the underdog against their rivals also resulted in a 0-2 record on the run line.
When considering the over/under, the UNDER 8.5 (-115) seems to be a viable option. The Padres have recently seen 9 consecutive games cashing in the under, including all 4 games against the Dodgers this season. In their last 3 meetings with the Dodgers, San Diego managed to score a mere 5 total runs.
Although the Dodgers have seen alternating results between the over and under in their past 4 games, the under has prevailed in 5 out of their last 7 games overall. This further supports the notion that going with the under for this matchup might be a safe bet.
To sum up, it is important for bettors to consider recent performances, matchups, and historical trends when attempting to predict outcomes in games like Saturday’s Padres at Dodgers contest. Taking into account these factors, our recommendation for the best bets are DODGERS (-155) on the moneyline, DODGERS -1.5 (+135) on the run line, and UNDER 8.5 (-115) on the over/under.
By making informed decisions and following reasonable strategies, bettors can increase their chances of success when placing wagers on MLB games such as this highly anticipated Padres vs. Dodgers matchup taking place on Saturday at Dodger Stadium. Remember, it’s imperative to stay informed and make intelligent choices when participating in sports betting.
In conclusion, we anticipate an entertaining and intense showdown between the Padres and the Dodgers on Saturday. Don’t miss out on this exciting MLB game, and make sure to place your bets accordingly. Good luck and enjoy the match!