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Angels vs. Orioles: Expert MLB picks and predictions

Ohtani vs. Rodriguez in Head-to-Head Match Up

On Monday at 6:35 p.m. ET, the Los Angeles Angels (21-20) and the Baltimore Orioles (26-14) are set to go head-to-head at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. To help you make your expert MLB picks and predictions, let’s take a closer look at FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Orioles odds. Los Angeles have lost three consecutive series after a five-game winning streak from April 30 to May 5 and having just dropped two out of three games to Cleveland in a weekend series. The Orioles, on the other hand, will be looking for another victory at home following a 4-2 start to their home stand. Their pitching has been on fire so far, compiling a 2.00 ERA over that period.

This match is predicted to feature RHP Shohei Ohtani going head-to-head with RHP Grayson Rodriguez. Ohtani boasts a record of 4-1 with a 2.74 ERA, recording a 0.91 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9, and 12.9 K/9 in 46 innings across eight starts. In contrast, his performances have dipped lately, with a 6.00 ERA and five home runs allowed over his last three starts (18 innings pitched). Rodriguez, meanwhile, has a record of 2-0, a 5.08 ERA, a 1.54 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9, and 11.0 K/9 in 33 2/3 innings pitched across seven starts. He has been struck mainly by balls in play (BABIP), with a .360 rating, but has only conceded two runs over his last 10 2/3 innings pitched on home turf.

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Looking at the odds over at FanDuel Sportsbook, the Angels are currently the favorites at -130, meaning bettors would need to bet $130 to win $100. On the other hand, the Orioles are at +110, so a $100 bet would give you a $110 return. When it comes to run line or against-the-spread (ATS) odds, the Angels are at -1.5 (+128), while the Orioles are at +1.5 (-154). The over/under (O/U) line has been set at 8, with the over currently priced at -110 and the under similarly priced at -110.

When it comes to picking a side to back in the moneyline, it might be worth giving both a miss and seeing how the game pans out as both teams have exhibited unpredictability in recent times. However, for those still looking to make a bet, Baltimore might just be the better choice. They have a 13-6 record at home, with Rodriguez solid in three of his last four starts. Additionally, the Orioles have a decent back end. For those watching the line, the Orioles at +120 has great value, so keep an eye out.

If you’re leaning towards a run line or against-the-spread bet, it’s worth considering the Under as it might offer you better value. Taking Baltimore +1.5 at -150 or better might prove to be a wise bet. However, we would advise against making any moves if that’s not the case.

Turning to the over/under, we can see that the Under has done particularly well in the Orioles’ recent games, going 6-0-1 in their last seven overall. The Under has also been strong in the last 24 series meetings in Baltimore, going 15-6-3. At 8, the O/U line here looks quite reasonable, and there is a decent price on the Under. Both clubs have taken advantage of facing weak pitching slates so far, which has boosted their batting numbers. However, when we examine Los Angeles’ homer numbers as well as other extra-based hits, exit velocity, and barrel percentage, we can see that they don’t stack up to closer scrutiny. The Angels’ BABIP with runners in scoring position is .323, and facing a right-handed pitcher puts them at a disadvantage when it comes to platoon splits. As for Baltimore, they’ve taken advantage of a robust .354 BABIP in high-leverage situations. Similarly to the Angels, the Orioles are more dangerous when it comes to left-handed pitchers. The pitching for the game looks solid overall, with Ohtani looking impressive so far, and Rodriguez better than his surface stats might suggest. The Baltimore bullpen is also performing quite well. Therefore, we would suggest backing the Under 8 with a price of -110.

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